Spot gold may fall to $1,759 -technicals

Gold prices rebounded 1 percent on Tuesday from a sell-off in the previous session, as heightened worries about the sovereign debt crisis in Europe remain supportive of safe-haven demand for bullion.

The threat of a potential Greek default and a full-blown banking crisis in Europe triggered a sell-off in equities and the euro in the previous session, before talks that Italy had asked China to buy its debt helped ease the panic.

Investors are watching a meeting between the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and euro zone finance ministers on Friday to discuss risks posed by European debt contagion.

“There is a slow-motion train wreck going on in Europe at the moment, which is going to be relatively supportive of gold,” said Nick Trevethan, senior commodities strategist at ANZ.

“All the factors that have been supporting gold for the past few months are still there. Nothing has changed.”

But in the short term, gold could face more downside risk and prices may test as low as $1,750, he added.

Spot gold gained as much as 1.2 percent to $1,835.19 an ounce and eased to $1,823.79 by 0620 GMT, after shedding more than 2 percent in the previous session.

U.S. gold rose 0.8 percent to $1,827.90, easing from an intra-day high of $1,838.9.

Technical analysis suggested that gold could decline to $1,759 later in the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

The daily trading range in spot gold increased from an average of $20 in July to $51 in August. In the past few session, gold swung in a range of over $60.

The volatility has put off some investors, and led to concerns that exchanges might increase margin requirements to protect themselves from potential default.

“There is a possibility of more margin increases going forward. We’ve seen a lot of $60-plus intra-day moves, which has to be concerning exchanges and clearing houses,” said Trevethan.

The CME Group raised margin requirements on U.S. gold futures twice in August. – Reuters

Posted by on September 13, 2011. Filed under Precious metals. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry